New York Mets vs. Houston Astros Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview
Sportsgrid Staff
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MLB – Mets @ Astros – First Pitch: 8:10 p.m.
Today’s MLB face-off sees the New York Mets against the Houston Astros, an engaging match-up that’s got baseball fans excited. Taking the ball for the Mets is none other than Max Scherzer, positioning the team as a slight road underdog with the game’s total at 7.5.
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It’s a match-up that highlights the stark difference between struggling teams in the AL and the NL. Despite having a tough season, the Astros are still managing to remain above .500, primarily due to their commendable pitching, even though their offense hasn’t been living up to the expectations.
Let’s take a closer look at the pitchers. Scherzer has been demonstrating fantastic skills over the past month, showcasing his dominance against both left and right-handed batters. However, the Astros’ batting lineup seems to be in a prolonged slumber, with the only sparks of life being Yainer Diaz and Jose Altuve against right-handed pitching.
The Mets’ lineup, on the other hand, seems well-suited to face right-handed pitching, a key factor in their match-up against Astros’ pitcher Hunter Brown. That said, Brown’s been remarkable this season, albeit with a slightly higher ISO power number against left-handed batters, his wOBA is good against both, and he’s been especially dominant facing righties.
When comparing lineups, New York profiles better against Brown than Houston does against Scherzer.
Taking into account the weighted on-base percentages over the past 30 days, the Mets’ hitters have posted positive numbers against right-handed pitching: Brandon Nimmo (.367), Starling Marte (.335), Pete Alonso (.353), Jeff McNeil (.311), Wilson Alvarez (.409), Tommy Pham (.460), and Luis Guillorme (.461).
Considering Brown’s stellar performance and the Mets’ proficiency against right-handed pitching, it’s more likely that Scherzer could dominate the Astros’ lineup. This situation leaves the Mets with a genuine opportunity to get after Brown. But given the total of 7.5, it remains uncertain if we will witness eight runs tonight.
So, it might be worth exploring an Astros team total under if you’re willing to trust Max Scherzer for this game.
Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:
| Spread | Total | Moneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -1.5 | -189 | O 7.5 | -110 | +109 | Open |
| -202 | 7.5 | -106 | +100 | Current | ||
| Astros | +1.5 | +157 | U 7.5 | -110 | -130 | Open |
| +168 | 7.5 | -114 | -120 | Current | ||
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Projected Lineups:
Mets
Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer: 5-2, 4.45 ERA, 9.53 K/9
| 1. | CF | Brandon Nimmo | .287, 7 HR, 32 RBI |
| 2. | RF | Starling Marte | .255, 3 HR, 19 RBI |
| 3. | 2B | Jeff McNeil | .272, 3 HR, 20 RBI |
| 4. | SS | Francisco Lindor | .213, 13 HR, 45 RBI |
| 5. | 1B | Pete Alonso | .227, 22 HR, 49 RBI |
| 6. | 3B | Brett Baty | .236, 4 HR, 20 RBI |
| 7. | DH | Daniel Vogelbach | .208, 3 HR, 15 RBI |
| 8. | LF | Tommy Pham | .252, 7 HR, 27 RBI |
| 9. | C | Omar Narváez | .214, 0 HR, 2 RBI |
Astros
Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown: 6-3, 3.35 ERA, 9.92 K/9
| 1. | LF | Mauricio Dubón | .286, 3 HR, 15 RBI |
| 2. | 2B | Jose Altuve | .275, 3 HR, 8 RBI |
| 3. | 3B | Alex Bregman | .241, 9 HR, 40 RBI |
| 4. | RF | Kyle Tucker | .285, 9 HR, 41 RBI |
| 5. | 1B | José Abreu | .227, 4 HR, 33 RBI |
| 6. | SS | Jeremy Peña | .248, 8 HR, 27 RBI |
| 7. | DH | Corey Julks | .249, 6 HR, 23 RBI |
| 8. | CF | Jake Meyers | .230, 6 HR, 21 RBI |
| 9. | C | Martín Maldonado | .181, 4 HR, 9 RBI |
Betting Insights:
Mets
- The over hit in 3 of the New York Mets last 5 games on the road in 2023
Astros
- The over hit in 3 of the Houston Astros last 5 games at home in 2023
