Grant White

Maple Leafs Rally in Sweden to defeat the Red Wings

Saturday is synonymous with hockey. It&#8217;s typically the busiest day of the week in the <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nhl">NHL</a>, featuring a bevy of intriguing matchups. That leaves many in-roads for bettors looking for edges in the gambling market. 
To help players get a winning edge, we&#8217;re highlighting some of our favorite plays from the <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nhl/picks">SportsGrid NHL Model</a>.
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/article/the-oilers-should-have-fired-ken-holland-not-jay-woodcroft">The Oilers Should Have Fired Ken Holland, Not Jay Woodcroft</a>
<h3>Edmonton Oilers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 
Lightning Moneyline (+102): 5-Star Rating</h3>
A couple of wins under a new head coach have seemingly calmed the waters in Edmonton, but there&#8217;s a much more sinister consequence following the move. Edmonton&#8217;s analytics have imploded. Granted, it&#8217;s only been two games, but now that the Oilers are heading out on a four-game Eastern Conference road trip, we could see diminished efforts from them on the road. That starts with Saturday&#8217;s matinee against the Tampa Bay Lightning. 
In two games under Kris Knoblauch, the Oilers have failed to generate any meaningful offense. In total, the team has totaled just 15 high-danger and 42 scoring chances, well below their respective season averages of 11.8 and 25.4. Worse, Edmonton has been out-chanced in both games despite playing on home ice. Every team is a little more insulated on home ice but will pay for those miscues on the road. 
At the same time, we&#8217;ve seen an uptick in the Lightning&#8217;s production. Tampa Bay has posted an expected goals-for rating of 59.0% or higher in three of their past four. Cumulatively, the team has a 56.9% rating over that stretch but only has one win to show for their efforts. That makes the Lightning natural progression candidates over their coming games. 
Nobody on the Oilers knows what&#8217;s going on. Although some may point to the coaching change spurring the team into action, their analytics suggest otherwise. Conversely, the Lightning have upped the ante recently and are due for an increase in wins. Don&#8217;t pass up the value on the home underdog Lightning.
<h3>New York Islanders vs. Calgary Flames 
Flames Moneyline (-146): 5-Star Rating</h3>
Arguably, the Calgary Flames&#8217; current state of disarray matches the Oilers. Several prominent Flames players have expressed dissatisfaction with the environment, requesting trades. The difference is Calgary continues to churn out above-average metrics but doesn&#8217;t have the wins to reflect its performances. Thankfully, they catch a tired New York Islanders squad at the end of a long road trip. 
Calgary&#8217;s anticipated progression is best reflected in its goals-for ratings. So far this season, the Flames have put up a respectable 52.3% rating, ranking top ten in the league; however, their actual percentage of 43.9% is much more dismal. More wins should follow as these metrics balance out.
The wheels have fallen off the Islanders&#8217; wagon at the end of a long roadie. New York has been substantially outplayed over its last two outings, mustering a paltry 35 scoring and 15 high-danger opportunities across that modest sample. That standing won&#8217;t improve as the Islanders contend with a condensed schedule and multi-time zone trip planning.
The Flames&#8217; on-ice dominance is captured in their current state. Calgary has posted an expected goals-for rating above 59.6% in four of their previous six. The Islanders haven&#8217;t kept up with worse analytics teams lately, ensuring Calgary walks away with this one.
<h3>Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Washington Capitals 
Blue Jackets Moneyline (+132): 5-Star Rating</h3>
With our final pick, we&#8217;re keying into another key underdog in a Metropolitan Division matchup. The Columbus Blue Jackets travel to take on the Washington Capitals on Saturday night. The betting market has installed the Caps as home chalk, but our projections suggest the advantage lies in backing the Jackets. 
Columbus has turned a corner with its recent offensive production. The Blue Jackets have attempted 11 or more quality chances in two of their last three. Predictably, that&#8217;s resulted in increased output, with the former expansion team tallying a 9.5% shooting percentage at five-on-five. 
That improved play coincides with a collapse in the Capitals&#8217; metrics. Washington has given up at least 12 quality chances in four straight, with opponents averaging 13.0 per game. However, that&#8217;s had an inverse impact on goaltending, as Capitals netminders have combined for a 94.5% save percentage at five-on-five. 
The bottom will fall out of the Capitals&#8217; goaltending metrics any day now. They can&#8217;t continue to get steamrolled and have their goalies save the day. It&#8217;s worth betting that Columbus comes to town and facilitates some of that regression tonight. 
Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SportsGrid</a>.

SportsGrid NHL Model Picks for Saturday, November 18

Travis Hunter emerges as top contender for the Heisman with odds at -400. His position might change if Colorado loses to Kansas, impacting his Heisman chances.

Travis Hunter Leads Heisman Race, Key Factors as Season Ends

Colorado Buffaloes head coach Deion Sanders argues that high tackle stats for cornerbacks, unlike Travis Hunter's, indicate they're allowing too many catches.

Deion Sanders Defends Travis Hunter's Heisman Tackle Stats

There are nine teams vying for the Big 12 title, led by the Colorado Buffaloes. Arizona State Sun Devils, BYU Cougars, and more seek paths to triumph.

Big 12 Title Race Heats Up: 9 Teams in the Run for Victory

LATEST VIDEOS

Oilers vs. Lightning,Oilers vs. Lightning Picks,Oilers vs. Lightning Preview,Oilers vs. Lightning Betting Guide,Flames vs. Islanders,Flames vs. Islanders Picks,Flames vs. Islanders Preview,Flames vs. Islanders Betting Guide,Blue Jackets vs. Capitals,Blue Jackets vs. Capitals Picks,Blue Jackets vs. Capitals Preview,Blue Jackets vs. Capitals Betting Guide,NHL Picks,NHL Preview,NHL Betting Guide,Calgary Flames,Calgary  AB,Western  Conference,Pacific  Division,Columbus Blue Jackets,Columbus  OH,Eastern  Conference,Metropolitan  Division,Edmonton Oilers,Edmonton  AB,New York Islanders,Belmont Park  NY,Tampa Bay Lightning,Tampa  FL,Atlantic  Division,Washington Capitals,Washington  DC

keywords

twitter:card

twitter:title

https://sg-images-bucket.nyc3.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/thumnbail-webp/article/1863099-1920x1080.webp?v=1732229516

twitter:image

thumbnail

google

The NHL has an exciting slate of action scheduled for November 18. Which games feature the best advantages for bettors, based on our SportsGrid algorithm?

description

expires

robots

og:locale

og:site_name

og:type

og:title

og:description

og:image

og:image:type

og:image:width

og:image:height

og:image:secure_url

article:published_time

article:modified_time

Top NHL Player Props Picks for Today: Thursday's Best Bets, Predictions

NHL Predictions | Islanders vs Red Wings, Lightning vs Blue Jackets Best Bets Today

How to Watch NHL on TNT: Hurricanes vs Flyers, Predators vs Kraken

Top NHL Player Props Picks for Today: Wednesday's Best Bets, Predictions

NHL Predictions | Sabres, Maple Leafs, Kraken Best Bets Today

NHL Predictions | Islanders, Oilers, Penguins Best Bets Today

Fastest NHL Players to Reach 1000 Points: Connor McDavid Joins Elite Company

Top NHL Player Props Picks for Today: Tuesday's Best Bets, Predictions

Top NHL Player Props Picks for Today: Monday's Best Bets, Predictions

NHL Predictions | Capitals, Sharks, Oilers Best Bets Today

Comment

Home

Articles

SportsGrid is your source for the best sports bets today. Watch SportsGrid for live sports news coverage, scores, odds, moneylines, sports betting tips & more.

sportsgrid.com

Ferrall Coast To Coast

College Football Today

NFL Pro Football Today

Bare Knuckle Fighting Main Event

In-Game LIVE Prime Time

The Early Line Live

SportsRage Tonight Live

NewsWire Live

The Bostonian Vs. The Book

Bare Knuckle Fighting Knuckle Up

MODUS Super Series Darts

Gametime Decisions Live

SportsGrid 2024 NFL Draft Special

Fantasy Sports Today

The Smylie Kaufman Show

SportsGrid 2024 NBA Draft Special

NHL Today

OUR SHOWS

The Oregon Ducks secure a Big 10 title game slot; Indiana Hoosiers and Ohio State Buckeyes vie for the other. Penn State Nittany Lions's odds are low.

Big 10 Championship Race: Ohio State's Path & Predictions

LATEST SPORTSGRID VIDEOS

Wherever you are, SportsGrid can be there too. Here are all of the platforms and subscription services you can find us on and how to watch SportsGrid today.

Where to Watch SportsGrid | How to Watch SportsGrid | SportsGrid

Samsung TV Plus

Roku TV

FireTV

LG Channels

Vizio

Xiaomi

VIDAA

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following Connected TV’s

FREE ON MY TV

Amazon Prime Video

Freevee

YouTube TV

FuboTV

Plex

Sling Tv

FreeCast

Local Now

Stremium

Rad TV

Free Live Sports

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following Streaming services

LIVE STREAMING SERVICES

Sirius XM

Sports.Tv

YouTube

Download the new SportsGrid app, watch on SportsGrid.com or our YouTube Channel

WEB/MOBILE

SportsGrid is free to watch on any of the following platforms

ALL PARTNERS

Wherever you are, SportsGrid can be there too. Here are all of the platforms and subscription services you can find us on:

WHERE TO WATCH SPORTSGRID

MORE ARTICLES