Tyler Mason

Brock Purdy’s Deal and NFL's New Kickoff Rules Update

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A flyweight bout headlines UFC Mexico as No. 2 ranked Brandon "The Assassin Baby" Moreno faces No. 8 Steve "Astro Boy" Erceg.
<ul>
	<li>Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025 | Time: 7:00 p.m. ET</li>
	<li>Venue: Mexico City, Mexico - Arena CDMX | TV: ESPN+</li>
</ul>
Main Card (ESPN2 / ESPN+)
<ul data-spread="false">
	<li>
Flyweight: Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg
</li>
	<li>
Lightweight: Manuel Torres vs. Drew Dober
</li>
	<li>
Middleweight: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer
</li>
	<li>
Bantamweight: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales
</li>
	<li>
Bantamweight: David Martinez vs. Saimon Oliveira
</li>
	<li>
Flyweight: Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Kevin Borjas
</li>
</ul>
Preliminary Card (ESPN2 / ESPN+)
<ul data-spread="false">
	<li>
Flyweight: Edgar Chairez vs. C.J. Vergara
</li>
	<li>
Middleweight: Jose Daniel Medina vs. Ateba Abega Gautier
</li>
	<li>
Featherweight: Christian Rodriguez vs. Melquizael Costa
</li>
	<li>
Women's Strawweight: Loopy Godinez vs. Julia Polastri
</li>
	<li>
Lightweight: Rafa Garcia vs. Vinc Pichel
</li>
	<li>
Featherweight: Jamall Emmers vs. Gabriel Miranda
</li>
	<li>
Lightweight: MarQuel Mederos vs. Austin Hubbard
</li>
</ul>
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UFC Mexico: Moreno vs Erceg | Fight Card

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Unranked middleweights Kelvin Gastelum and Joe Pyfer will face off on Saturday. Gastelum is 5-7 over his previous 12 fights, losing six of nine middleweight matches. Pyfer is 1-1 over his last two but 6-1 across his previous seven, with five knockouts.
Pyfer is five inches taller and has a 3.5-inch reach advantage. He is also twice as likely to knock down his opponent as Gastelum, averaging 0.87 knockdowns per 15 minutes. Both fighters land and absorb significant strikes at essentially the same rate. They also have similar wrestling statistics, with Pyfer having a slight edge in submissions.
The most significant differences in this fight will be Pyfer's size and power. I think Pyfer becomes the first guy to knock Gastelum out at +290.
<a class="in-cell-link" href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/betting/sportsbook-promos/bet365" target="_blank" rel="noopener">BET365 PROMO CODE – FIRST BET SAFETY NET $1000 IN BONUS BETS</a>

Kelvin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer

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Unranked lightweight Manuel Torres and Drew Dober will stand opposite each other. Torres is looking to bounce back from a knockout loss, but had a six-fight finishing streak before that. Dober is 1-3 over his last four, losing two in a row.
Torres is two inches taller and will have a 3.5-inch reach advantage. Dober hits like a truck, but Torres enters with a higher knockdown average at 3.4 per 15 minutes. Torres also averages 2.78 more significant strikes per minute. He'll also have the takedown edge, averaging 1.59 more takedowns per minute.
I think this fight will end in a knockout, and I lean toward the younger and larger fighter. At +210, I take Torres to win by KO/TKO.

Manuel Torres vs Drew Dober

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<ul>
	<li>Odds to Win: Moreno -245 | Erceg +194</li>
	<li>How Will Fight End: KO/TKO +270 | Submission +650 | Decision -220</li>
	<li>Will the fight go the distance? Yes -215 | No +164</li>
</ul>
Former flyweight champion Brandon Moreno takes on former title contender Steve Erceg. Moreno is 4-3 over his last seven fights, with five being for the title. Erceg has lost two in a row, but had an 11-fight win streak before that.
Erceg is one inch taller, but Moreno has a two-inch reach advantage. Like many flyweight fights, both fighters are statistically similar. They clock in at 0.21 and 0.23 knockdowns, 1.59 and 11.16 takedowns, and 0.42 and 0.47 submissions per 15 minutes. On the feet, they land 3.99 and 4.37 and absorb 3.53 and 4.22 significant strikes per minute, with Erceg enjoying the slight edge.
The big difference is in experience, with Moreno having faced more high-pressure situations. I think Moreno wins the fight, but there's no doubt the value is with Erceg. However, with the fight in Mexico, it's difficult to bet against Moreno. Take Moreno to win at -245.

Brandon Moreno vs Steve Erceg

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<ul>
	<li>Pyfer by KO/TKO (+290) 
</li>
	<li>Torres by KO/TKO (+210)</li>
	<li>Moreno to win (-245)</li>
</ul>
Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/">SportsGrid</a>.
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UFC Mexico: Moreno vs Erceg | Betting Card

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A flyweight bout headlines UFC Mexico as No. 2 ranked Brandon "The Assassin Baby" Moreno faces No. 8 Steve "Astro Boy" Erceg. Moreno is favored at -245.

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