Sportsgrid-Staff

We’ve crafted a well-researched four-leg NBA parlay at +436 odds, blending value with security by leveraging statistical trends and key matchups. Each pick is backed by analytics, injury reports, and team trends to maximize our edge in tonight’s slate.
Wednesday NBA Betting Guide: <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/article/spurs-vs-hawks-wednesday-prediction-nba-picks-today-best-bets">SAS-ATL</a> |<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/article/suns-vs-thunder-wednesday-prediction-nba-picks-today-best-bets"> PHX-OKC</a> | <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/article/top-nba-player-prop-picks-for-today-wednesdays-best-bets-predictions-5">Top Props</a>
<h2>Leg 1: Hawks Alt. Spread +8.5 vs Spurs (-200)</h2>
For this leg of our parlay, we’re opting for <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/depth-chart/atlanta-hawks-depth-chart">Atlanta Hawks</a> +8.5 (-200) rather than the posted line of Hawks +4.5, adding a cushion of security based on analytical trends. While the <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/depth-chart/san-antonio-spurs-depth-chart">San Antonio Spurs</a> won their previous matchup in overtime, 133-126 at home, the Hawks remain a strong pick to cover an extended spread. <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/players/trae-young/3042">Trae Young</a> (23.0 PPG, 11.5 APG) leads the way for Atlanta, and despite his recent Achilles issue, he is expected to play tonight.
The Hawks rank eighth in points per game (116 PPG) compared to the Spurs&#8217; 19th (114 PPG) and excel in moving the ball (sixth, 29 APG), showing their offensive efficiency. The Spurs struggle with turnovers, ranking 18th (14 per game), which plays into the hands of the Hawks&#8216; second-ranked steals per game (10.3 SPG). While <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/players/victor-wembanyama/3090">Victor Wembanyama</a> (24.6 PPG, 10.9 RPG, 3.9 BPG) dominates defensively, the Hawks&#8217; ability to push pace and force mistakes makes them a viable underdog to stay within single digits. Given San Antonio&#8217;s inconsistency and less-than-stellar 7-13 away record, taking the Hawks +8.5 gives us a safety net while maintaining substantial value in our parlay.
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/game/san-antonio-spurs-atlanta-hawks-scores-odds-picks-props-february-05-2025/3c061c01-303d-4196-b01a-9f8f6b8ea5fd">SAS vs ATL Odds &amp; Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today &amp; Injury Updates</a>
<h2>Leg 2: Trae Young 10+ Assists (-240)</h2>
For this leg of our parlay, we’re taking Trae Young&#8217;s 10+ Assists (-240) instead of the riskier posted prop of over 11.5 assists (+114), prioritizing consistency and security. Young is averaging 11.5 APG on the season, but his recent performances show a variance that makes the 10+ mark more attainable. Over his last six games, he’s recorded nine or more assists in five of them. The NBA assists leader also put up 16 assists against the San Antonio Spurs back in December. The Spurs allow 26.6 opponent APG, ranking 19th in the NBA, signaling a favorable matchup for Young’s playmaking. With a strong offensive role, a favorable matchup, and an extra cushion on the number, Young&#8217;s 10+ assists (-240) is the sharper play to avoid unnecessary risk while keeping the parlay alive.
Trade Winners/Losers: <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/article/lakers-mavs-trade-3-winners-3-losers-in-luka-doncic-anthony-davis-swap">Lakers-Mavs</a> | <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/article/who-won-the-spurs-kings-blockbuster-4-winners-3-losers-in-fox-lavine-trade">Spurs-Kings</a>
<h2>Leg 3: Suns Under 108.5 Team Total vs Thunder (-114)</h2>
For this leg of our parlay, we’re locking in <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/depth-chart/phoenix-suns-depth-chart">Phoenix Suns</a> Under 108.5 Team Total (-114) against the <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/depth-chart/oklahoma-city-thunder-depth-chart">Oklahoma City Thunder</a>, supported by defensive metrics and key absences. The Thunder boast the league’s best defense, allowing just 104.5 PPG, and have already suffocated the Suns once this season, holding them to a mere 83 points in a dominant 16-point win.
NBA Trade Deadline: <a class="in-cell-link" href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/article/nba-trade-deadline-buy-or-sell-for-all-30-teams" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Buy/Sell Every Team</a>
Now, Phoenix is without its leading scorer, <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/players/kevin-durant/3209">Kevin Durant</a> (26.9 PPG), who is sidelined with an ankle sprain, further limiting their offensive upside. Even with Durant healthy for most of the season, Phoenix sits around league average in scoring at 113 PPG, and their recent form doesn’t inspire confidence, having failed to reach 110 points in three of their last five games. The Suns will struggle to generate enough offense against an elite Thunder defense at full strength, making the Under 108.5 (-114) a sharp bet.
<a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/game/phoenix-suns-oklahoma-city-thunder-scores-odds-picks-props-february-05-2025/cad31f10-d9e5-4b94-a02c-ca6263da4dbc">PHX vs OKC Odds &amp; Predictions, Free Picks, Prop Bets Today &amp; Injury Updates</a>
<h2>Leg 4: Isaiah Hartenstein 10+ Rebounds (-290)</h2>
For the final leg of our parlay, we’re locking in <a href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/players/isaiah-hartenstein/2805">Isaiah Hartenstein&#8217;s</a> 10+ Rebounds (-290) rather than the posted 11.5 rebounds prop (-120), prioritizing consistency and matchup-based value. Hartenstein has been a rebounding machine, averaging 12.5 RPG this season and grabbing 10+ rebounds in nine of his last ten games.
The matchup against the Phoenix Suns is especially favorable, as they rank 25th in the NBA in rebounding (42.2 RPG) and allow the 11th most rebounds per game (44.7 RPG) to opponents. While not an elite rebounder, with Kevin Durant (6.1 RPG) sidelined, the Suns are even more vulnerable on the glass, as missing his near 7-foot frame diminishes their interior presence. Given Hartenstein’s dominant rebounding numbers and Phoenix’s struggles securing boards, taking the 10+ rebounds (-290) adds a safe and high-probability leg to our parlay while avoiding the volatility of the higher total.
<a class="in-cell-link" href="https://www.sportsgrid.com/betting/sportsbook-promos/caesars" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CAESARS PROMO – DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS</a>
<h2>2-Game, 4-Leg Parlay Payout: +436</h2>
This +436 parlay capitalizes on strong trends: Atlanta’s scoring efficiency, Young’s elite playmaking, Oklahoma City’s stifling defense, and Hartenstein’s rebounding dominance. With Kevin Durant out, the Suns&#8217; offense is at risk, while San Antonio’s turnover issues make them vulnerable to the Hawks’ transition game. By adjusting key player props for security, we optimize our probability of cashing this parlay while still locking in solid value.
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This +437 NBA parlay blends smart alt lines and props. We make plays on the Hawks, Trae Young, the Suns, and Isaiah Hartenstein. Get our best bets for tonight!

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